Symbol |
Date |
Recommended Price |
Current Price |
Status |
ATMI |
10-28-00 |
18.375 |
15 1/2 |
B |
CNXT |
10-28-00 |
22.00 |
20 5/16 |
B |
VSEA |
10-28-00 |
19 15/16 |
18 1/8 |
B |
KLAC |
10-28-00 |
31.00 |
27 1/2 |
B |
AMAT |
10-28-00 |
48.00 |
40 7/16 |
B |
T |
10-28-00 |
21 15/16 |
19 5/8 |
B |
WCOM |
10-28-00 |
22.06 |
15 |
B |
MOT |
10-28-00 |
21.50 |
20 1/16 |
B |
LSI |
11-30-00 |
18 |
|
B |
XIRC |
11-30-00 |
14 7/16 |
|
B |
NITE |
11-30-00 |
16 3/4 |
|
B |
DITC` |
11-30-00 |
15 11/16 |
|
B |
CYMI |
11-30-00 |
20 |
|
B |
INTC` |
11-30-00 |
38 1/16 |
|
B |
1. AMTI - supplier of material used worldwide in the
manufacture of semi-devices; book - $8.81 cash - $5.51 debt - almost
nil 52 week range $15.50 to $60.75 shares outstanding 29.7 million
Note: Rev for 9 months $213 mil and net .97 vs. $143 mil and .44 net - 00 est
$1.37 - 01 est $1.83. We assume these numbers will be lowered - look for long
term growth potential and possible takeover candidate for this "cherry". Only
trading at 9x est 01.
2. CNXT - provides semi-products and systems solutions
for communications electronics. book - $12.80 cash - $3.66 debt -
low, 52 week range - $19.81 to $132.50 shares outstanding - 228 mil.
Note: Revenue for September 30 - 9 months $2.1 billion, net loss $190
million. This number includes a $215.7 million write-off of purchased R & D
- 01 est .75. Off 85% from lofty high - looks very oversold and attractive.
Long term at current levels.
3. VSEA - designs , manufactures, markets and services
semi-processing equipment in the fabrication of integrated circuits. book -
$10.44 cash - $3.79 debt - 0, 52-week range - $18.00 to 73.25
shares outstanding - 32 million year end Sept 30, 00 rev $626 million and
net $2.94 vs. $206 million and loss of .43, 01 earnings est $4.04. Even if they
only earn $2.00, this is a screaming long term BUY! Could also be a takeover
candidate.
4. KLAC - engaged in the design, manufacture, marketing
and service of yield management and process monitoring systems for the semi
industry. book - $9.60 cash - $5.00 debt - 0 52 week range
$25.50 to $97.75 shares outstanding - 187 million first quarter ending
Sept 30 00 revenue $534 million and net .54 vs. $272 million and .21, 01 est
earnings $2.24 - 70% off 52 week high. Looks very attractive at level. Earnings
estimate may be lowered, but long term a strong leader.
5. AMAT - develops, manufactures, markets and services
semi wafer fabrication equipment and spare parts for the worldwide
semi-industry, book - $7.56 cash - $4.62 debt - very little 52
week range - $38.50 to $115.00 shares outstanding - 811 million 9
months ending July 30, 2000 revenue $6.6 billion and net of $1.69, 00 est $
2.39, 01 est $3.54 -- may be too high. Note: A core holding for semi
industry - off 65% from overvalued high -- now looks super cheap.
6. T - provides voice, data and video communication -
also furnishes domestic and international long distance, local and wireless
comm. services, cable TV and Internet comm. services. book - $29.34
cash - $.11 debt - 50% 52 week range - $21.25 to $61.00 shares
outstanding - $3.76 million revenue for 9 months -49 billion and net
$1.40 00 earnings est - $1.80 01 earnings est - $1.68. Note:
Currently trading at 30% below stated book, attractive yield of around 5% -
earnings estimate most likely will be lowered - brake-up value should release
additional value. Looks very attractive at current levels.
7. WCOM - provides a broad range of comm. outsourcing,
and managed network services to both US and non-US based corporations. WCOM
provides one of the broadest range of Internet and traditional, private
networking services available from any provider. book - $19.31 cash -
.32 debt - fair amount 52 week range $14.13 to $61.33 shares
outstanding - 2.87 million Note: Trading at about 20% below stated book.
Earning estimate of $2.20 for 01 mostly will be lowered. Still looks extremely
oversold. For 9 months ending Sept 30 2000 revenue is $29.4 billion and $1.20
net vs. $26.5 billion and .91 net. At current levels could be a takeover
candidate. Great Internet play (infrastructure). We spell it! CORE HOLDINGS.
8. MOT - wireless telephone, two-way radio, messaging and
satellite comm. products and systems. Internet - access systems, etc., etc.
book - $9.47 cash - $1.42 debt - fair amount 52 week range - $19 -
$61.54 shares outstanding - 2.18 billion 9 months ending Sept 30 2000
revenue $27.5 billion and .52 00 earnings est. - 98 01 earnings est. -
$1.23 Note: BUY - core holdings at current levels -- 66% from overvalued
high.
9. LSI - is a designer, developer, manufacturer and
marketer of complex, high-performance integrated circuits and storage
systems. book - $7.47 cash - $3.40 debt - .41 52 week range -
$17 5/8 to $90.375 shares outstanding - 319 million Note: for 9 months
ended 9-30-00 revenues rose 32% to $1.99 billion, while net income exploded to
$174.9 million. Earnings est. for 00 - $1.24 and 01 est. - $1.78 (these numbers
could be lowered). This stock is 80% off its 52 week. A super leader in its
business segment. Strong BUY recommendation. See November 9 press release for
further guidance. We rate LSI as a STRONG BUY at current depressed levels.
10. XIRC - is a global provider of mobile networking and
information access solutions for mobile professionals. Its products enable
connectivity between notebooks, handhelds and corporate networks, the Internet
and other on-line services. book - $14.39 cash - $10.00 debt -
0 52 week range - $12.23 to $75.93 Shares outstanding - $29.9
million Note: Revenue for 9 months rose 17% to $496 million. Net income
fell 28% to $25 million. Earnings estimate for Sept 01 - $1.09, while 02 -
$1.45. Currently trading at book. Looks like a takeover candidate - huge cash
reserve ($10.00/sh). The company is being valued at $4.00 minus the cash.
Someone is going to eat them alive. Great BUY at current levels. Off 81% from
high.
11. NITE - is one of the leading market makers in NASDAQ
securities and in the third market. book - $5.98 cash - $2.83 debt
- 0 52 week range - $16 1/2 to $60 shares outstanding - 123 million
Note: for 9 months revenue reached around $1 billion and net income $1.76 -
huge increase over prior period. Read Oct 18 press release from NITE for
further guidance. Looks like excellent value at current levels. Earnings
estimate for 00 and 01 appears flat ($2.00) - only trading at 8x estimate. At
current prices, NITE will be bought out soon by either Citibank or Merrill.
This is like taking candy from a baby. Off 63% from 52 week high.
12 DITC - is a global telecommunications equipment
supplier for voice and data networks. DITC's echo cancellation products
eliminate the problem of echo in emerging and existing voice networks. book
- $8.38 cash - $4.14 debt - 0 52 week range - $15 11/16 to
$140.88 shares outstanding - 29 million Note: for 6 months ended
10-31-00, revenue totalled 88.6 million , while net income totalled $28
million. Earnings estimates have remained intact to date; that is, April 01 -
$1.86 and 02 at $2.14. Trading at around 8x estimate. Another takeover
candidate at current levels - down a whopping 88% from 52 week high. You have
to love it! Read second quarter guidance dated November 16, 2000.
13. CYMI - engaged in the development, manufacturing and
marketing of excimer lasers for sale to manufacturers of photolithography tools
in the semiconductor equipment industry. book - $6.26 cash - $6.98
debt - high 52 week range $16.125 - $67 shares outstanding - 29.4
million Note: Revenue exploded for the 9 months to $265 million from $142
million. Net income $1.40 vs. (01). Read the latest guidance dated October 30,
2000 - extremely bullish in our opinion. Earnings estimate for 00 equals $2.01,
while 01 equals $3.00. If we assume 01 is 30% - overly optimistic - and CYMI
only earns $2.00, then CYMI will trade at an estimated PE of 10x. We find CYMI
very attractive at current levels - down 70% from 52 week high. We do not see
dramatic risk from current levels. THIS IS CUTTING EDGE, BABY!
14. INTC - a semi chip maker, supplies the computing and
communication industries with chips, boards, systems and software that are
integral in computer, servers and networking and communications products.
book - $5.60 cash - $2.02 debt - 0 52 week range - $35 - $75.82
shares outstanding - 6.73 billion Note: INTC clearly dominates its space
with about 80% market share. It's also the world's single largest semiconductor
company - by a considerable margin and also the most profitable. INTC is the
core, plain and simple! A must own at current levels - that is $38.00. Earnings
est. for 00 equals $1.67 while Dec 01 equals $1.73 - down over 50% from 52 week
high. BUY them when they are down in the dumps and sell them when they are King
of the Hill! |