Asian
Flu Portfolio
The baby, bath water and the highest of quality stocks are
out the window. The five listed stocks below were purchased on or
about October 30, 1997, and will be monitored in this portfolio and
our 888# and E-mail portfolio for percentage gain performance. In 3 -
6 months' time, we believer that the securities listed below will have
appreciated handsomely for the scared-to-death investor.
Brief on each selection
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Applied Magnetics (APM) - a leading independent
supplier of magnetic recording head components for rigid disk
drives found in computers. Earning estimate for fiscal 98 around
$4+ (hard to believe), even if it is half that number APM is still
very attractive (value line had it at $4.75). LTD - $115 million -
book est. $9.59, 24 million shares outstanding cash/share around
$7.10, estimated cash flow/98 equals $7.40 - even if it is half
that value. This situation is a super bargain. During July, 1997,
APM was $34/sh. Estimated revenues for fiscal 1998 equals $650
million. Any investor looking for a high quality core holding
relating to the computer complex has to won APM for the long term
as a core holding. This is a no-brainer. Corporate # 805-683-5353.
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Applied Materials (AMAT) develops, manufactures, markets
and services semiconductor water fabrication equipment and space
parts. A true world leader. Has been beaten down from an adjusted
52 week high of $54 to an attractive level of $33/sh. Estimated
earnings for fiscal 1997 are $1.37/sh. Still a bit rich, but we
are ready to average down if we have not picked the bottom within
10% - 15%. Book value around $7.33 and cash of $3.00. Long term
debt is low. At present, 364 million shares outstanding. Growth
has been tremendous and we anticipate that the Asian meltdown may
cause near term weakness, but over the long term, this opportunity
is a star. Corporate # 805-683-5353.
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Spectrum Corp. (SPCT) designs, manufactures and markets
highly linear radio frequency power amplifiers that address the
needs of wireless infrastructure equipment suppliers and their
service provider customers. When you consider where this
opportunity has been and what assets, sales and earning SPCT has,
one has to wonder if the professionals that are dumping this
opportunity need their heads examined. The company has in excess
of $10 in cash and a book value of over $14 and earnings, even
though reduced to around $2.32. SPCT has no LTD and only has 10
million shares outstanding. From its high, it is trading 66% below
the peak of $66/sh. Sales are estimated to slow somewhat near term
and some contracts with Nortel are questionable, but this
slaughter is way overdone to the super charred level. We believe
that for investors looking at 3 - 6 months that a 50% appreciation
is not a pipe dream. Corporate # 408-745-5400
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Sun Microsystems, Inc. (SUNW) is a lending supplier of
the network-based distributed computing systems, including work
stations, severs, the UNIX operating system, and productivity,
software, for both commercial and technical applications. At
present SUNW trades at only $8 above it 52-week low or 40% below
its 52-week high. Estimated earnings for fiscal 98 ending June are
$2.30, book value $7.41, cash $3.00 and LTD only $107 million.
SUNW is estimated to reach sales of $10 billion, a 15% growth rate
over 1997. Should trade at least at around 20x. A premier
discounted for earnings and the Asian Flu. The street usually
wrong and because of this, an imperfect market is allowing astute
investor types the opportunity to steal SUNW at bargain basement
prices. Corporate phone #415-960-1300
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Templeton dragon Fund (TDF) - a closed-end mutual fund
run by famed Mark Mobius. This fund in our opinion will give us
exposure in Hong Kong, China , and the rest of Asia Pacific. Has
been beaten down by idiots. Mobius admits on October 29, 1997 that
he was trained by famed "Sir John Templeton". On October
27, 1997, TDR, announced that the board authorized the buy back of
up to 10% or 5.4 million shares. He also states that assets
exceeded $986 million. Asia caught the flu, but by purchasing TDF
at current levels with time will afford you a long-term vacation
on the beach.. We love this issue and currently hod a sizeable
position in it.
Broker contact for all five of these issues: Greg
Nelson (22 years in the business) at 1-800-269-9460 |