Rev $33.7 million US. Earnings .11/sh US fully diluted - 8 million shares.
Cash$12.7 million US around $1.50. Book value$25,285,131 or $3.16
US. Stock range: 98 - .75-$8.00. The second and third quarter are the strongest
SUMMER MONTHS!!! The first quarter is winter and they still did .11. Rev
and earnings should equal or surpass 98 numbers! This opportunity is a
screaming BUY for patient investors and value players! China is out of favor,
CBRB is unknown and underfollowed and fundamentally the cheapest stock in the
world!! ( maybe). Currently trading at 25% of cash! Currently trading at 77%
below book! Currently trading at a trailing 12-months PE of around 1.5X.
Currently trading at a trailing PSP of .023
According to the latest filing: The Beer industry in China is seasonal! The
companys sales are usually at their lowest in the months of October and
November and highest in the months of March through September.
The company owned effective interests of 60%, 24%, and 33% in three brewing
facilities currently producing Pabst Blue Ribbon beer in China, all of which
are managed by the company. The sublicense with Blue Ribbon is up for renewal
November 7, 2003!
We realized that the sublicenser with Blue Ribbon was up for renewal on or
about November 7, 2003 - that is almost three and 1/2 years away! At the time
of recommendation the fundamentals appeared outstanding so we placed a strong
buy recommendation on CBRB. Everything in our mind pointed towards a $3.00
stock instead of a .41.
On June 7, 1999, CBRB reported that Noble China Inc. had reported that it
had acquired exclusive rights to brew and distribute Blue Ribbon Beer
throughout China commencing November 8, 2003.
Presently we are unable to verify this recent development nor has the
company! Even though this new development does not take place for 3 1/2 years,
we are unable to figure out the present or future position of CBRB. Obviously,
near term nothing will change - earnings should continue to show improvement,
but long term we at S.A. Advisory are clueless and cannot continue to place a
buy recommendation on this situation, but instead place a strong hold. This
company is not going to just die on the vine, but future plans are cloudy at
best. We will continue to monitor this situation in our portfolio for
percentage gain performance, but have a strong hold on it or a very speculative
buy.
As soon as news is available and things become clearer, our opinion will be
stated accordingly. Corporate contact: 818-879-6501, Attn: Robert.
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