Champion Parts remanufactures fuel system components, front wheel drive
assemblies, and underhood electrical and mechanical products for the passenger
car, agricultural, heavy duty truck and marine parts aftermarket.
- Fully reporting with the SEC.
- 3.6 million shares outstanding - fully diluted.
- 2.2 million shares in the float.
- 4. Cash $1,000,000 - around .30/share in cash.
- Negative book around .40 and falling fast - the way that this company is
rebounding, we assume a positive net worth will happen rather quickly.
- Net sales for six months $15 million versus $13.7 million.
- The second quarter sales were explosive - that is, $8.8 million versus $6.7
million, while net income/share equalled .18 versus .05.
Most recent press release, dated August 13,1999, says it all:
We generated significant sales and profit increases in the second
quarter, said Jerry A. Bragiel, president and chief executive officer,
that are reflective across the board. Carburetor business was up with
existing customers, constant velocity joint sales increased, and sales of our
heavy-duty and domestic passenger car products were higher. We also benefited
from a new agricultural OEM customer.
The chief executive also noted that the companys continued cost
reduction efforts are working. Despite higher direct labor costs
incurred to meet shipping demands, the bottom line is improving. The company
plans to finalize relocation of its corporate office to its Hope, Arkansas,
facility before year-end, which should yield additional cost savings and
synergies.
The company also reported a strong working capital improvement. Net working
capital at June 27,1999 was a positive $983,000, compared to a negative
$896,000 at the end of 1998, and a negative $6,188,000 for June 28, 1998. The
improvement in working capital over the first half of 1998 is principally a
result of reclassifying the new four-year loan under long-term debt, as
compared to current maturities of long-term debt for the prior facility, which
was in default. Debt reclassification includes $ 1.0 million of the Hope,
Arkansas $1.3 million industrial revenue bond, subsequent to resolving
cross-default issues.
Carburetor sales were 74.3% and 73.6% of net sales in the first six months
of 1999 and 1998, respectively. While overall carburetor sales are declining in
the U.S. market, the Company continues to be a significant supplier of
carburetors in the aftermarket. Although new vehicles sold in the United States
and Canada are no longer equipped with carburetors, the Company continues to
sell replacement units for older vehicles, many of which use carburetors.
The anticipated decline in sales from the profitable carburetor product line
over the long term will impact future results. The Company intends to offset
the impacts through development of niche product markets, new product
development, improvements in its manufacturing processes and cost containment
with a strong focus on capacity utilization. There is no assurance that the
Companys efforts will be successful.
Overview
CREB, in our opinion, is a very cheap investment opportunity. The
fundamentals of the company continue to improve dramatically. Reading the
latest press release is extremely encouraging. When we look at what we get for
$1/share, it really demonstrates a very attractive mini-micro investment
opportunity.
From all indications, revenue and earnings are ramping up. It looks like
CREB should have sales of at least $30 - 35 million and .40 - .60 net
income/share for year ending December, 1999. (Note: Estimates are not
managements. We assumed their numbers from recent developments and actual
revenue and earnings).
If CREB continues to grow at around 20% (Note: six months growth 9% - 2nd
quarter by 31%) and earns .40 for the year, and we assigned a growth rate PE of
20 and a conservative PE of 10, then our share price would equal $8 and $4,
respectively - a far cry from current levels of $1/share. Even if we assigned a
super conservative PE of 5 with estimated earnings of .40, we get a share price
of $2.00. Anyway you slice it, CREB is a very undervalued investment
opportunity. At present the PSR (price to sales ratio) is a tiny .10 of sales.
If CREB was to trade at 1x sales, CREBs share price would be around
$8.00. Again, a far cry from current levels.
Obviously, CREB is an obscure mini-micro that has no following or little
following. It appears that a turn-around has definitely taken hold. The
fundamentals of CREB look very appealing and the price displays limited
downside risk and very attractive upside potential. (Note: Third quarter is
typically the weakest quarter, while the fourth is the second strongest.
Recently received a major agreement with Advanced Auto to supply their 600
stores with CREB products).
We intend to monitor CREB in our portfolio for percentage gain performance.
We informed our E-mailers on August 16, 1999 @ .75.
Broker contact: Mike Chesler @ 1-800-890-1629. Corporate Number
1-630-942-8317.
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