BUY RECOMMENDATION ON CIRCUIT RESEARCH LAB (CRLI.OB--.50)
WE SEE PROFIT TURN-AROUND IN 07 AND SOLID GROWTH IN REV AND EARNINGS IN 08
WWW.SAADVISORY.COM WEBSITE--May 14, 2007
The company ( Circuit Research Lab-
crli.ob) develops, manufactures & markets
electronic audio processing , transmission
encoding and noise reduction equipment
for the worldwide radio, TV, cable, Internet
and professional audio markets.
Main product lines control the audio quality
and range of radio, TV, cable and Internet
audio reception and allow radio and TV
stations to broadcast in mono and
stereo.
CHECK OUT WEBSITE FOR
COMPLETE LIST OF PRODUCTS--
WWW.ORBAN.COM
DURING THE PAST FEW YEARS -
CRLI.OB HAS IMPLEMENTED A MAJOR
RE-ORG OF OPERATIONS AND DEBT
PLATFORM- RESULTING IN POOR
FINANCIAL RESULTS IN 06.
According to management results for 06
are primarily attributed to costs incurred
consolidating and moving to new facility in
Tempe, AZ, along with experiencing long
lead times for components associated with
the implementation of a EU directive
concerning electrical and electronic
equipment.
CORPORATE INFORMATION:
WORLDWIDE- 48,400 RADIO
STATIONS
19,200 TV STATIONS
US- 13,500 RADIO AND 4500 TV
STATIONS
INTERNET- 6100 RADIO SITES- OF
THOSE 4700 RADIO STATIONS ARE
OFFERING WEBCAST OR SCREAMING
SERVICES.
MOVING SAVING/YR--
$432,000.00
CURRENT BACKLOG- $3 MILLION
HUGE R&D FOR 05 & 06- $1.6 AND $1.8
MILLION RESPECTIVELY
THIS HUGE R&D EXPENSE WAS
PRIMARILY USED FOR PC BASED
PRODUCTS AND DIGITAL ENCODERS
AND DECODERS WHICH ARE USED
FOR DIGITAL TRANSMISSION
SYSTEMS
FOR USE OVER THE INTERNET!!
EMPLOYEES-75
STOCK PRICE RANGE
2005--.30 LOW --$2.11 HIGH
2006--.24 LOW--$.99 HIGH
2007--.16 LOW--..54 HIGH
NOL---$8 MILLION
SHARES OUTSTANDING -8.6
MILLION
OPTIONS--CONFUSING BUT WE
ASSUME AROUND 3 MILLION SHARES
AVAILABLE FOR OUT OF MONEY
OPTIONS.--NOT INCLUDED IN
CALCULATIONS.
REV FOR 06-$12.6 MIL AND
LOSS .25/SH VS REV OF $15 MIL AND
GAIN OF ..25/sh ( GAIN OF DEBT
RESTRUCTURE)
MANAGEMENT THOUGHTS FOR 07!!
According to management- statements
made in recent 10k filed mid April 2007.
"During 07 we expect to increase the
output because we are not going to have
facilities off-line during a move. The
expected return to historical sales volume
will absorb fixed expenses and generate
increased operating profits and working
capital should permit us to settle current
obligation on a more timely
basis."
THE WAY WE SEE IT!
WE BELIEVE THAT FROM
MANAGEMENT COMMENTS THAT
REV FOR 07 WILL AT LEAST REACH
$15 MILLION AND MAY EVEN HIT $20
MILLION, BUT THAT FIGURE IS REAL
HIGH- WE THINK! WHEN YOU REALIZE
THAT THE CMPY WILL SAVE $400K
FROM THE MOVE ANNUALLY AND
MOST LIKELY THE COMPANY WILL
REDUCE R&D BY $1 MILLION AND
INCREASE GROSS MARGINS BACK TO
58% AND BENEFIT FROM THE EURO
CONVERSION INTO DOLLARS (
AROUND $6 MILLION IN SALES FROM
06)
THAT CRLI.OB WILL SHOW A PROFIT
FOR 07 OF AROUND .10/SH BASED
UPON $15 MILLION AND.20/SH BASED
UPON $20 MILLION IN REV.
DEBT RESTRUCTURE REDUCED
DEBT BY AROUND 50% AND SOME
MAY EVEN BE CONVERTED INTO
COMMON SHARES DURING THE 3RD Q
OF 07.
WHY WE THINK CRLI.OB HAS THE
TICKET FOR SUCCESS!
1. GREAT PRODUCT LINE FOR
STRONG GROWTH CONCERNING THE
INTERNET AND RADIO AND TV AUDIO
ENHANCEMENTS.
2. LARGE BACKLOG OF $3
MILLION
3. ADDED ADDITIONAL WORK SHIFTS
BECAUSE OF PRODUCT
DEMAND.
4.REDUCED DEBT BY 50%
5 $400K ANNUAL SAVING/YR
BECAUSE OF RELOCATION TO
AZ.
6.VALUABLE NOL OF $7.9 MILLION
WHICH SHIELDS COMPANY
FROM FEDERAL TAX FOR MANY
YEARS AND ALSO MAKES CRLI.OB
ATTRACTIVE FOR POSSIBLE MERGER
OF "LIKE" COMPANY.
7. TRADING NEAR 3 YEAR LOW
8. DURING 08 AN ADDITIONAL $1
MILLION IN SAVINGS FROM
CONTINUED
DEBT REDUCTION<.BR>
9. TRADING @ AN EST. 5X PE AND .3
PRS BASED UPON 07 ESTIMATES-
ASSUMING REV OF 15 MILLION AND
NET
OF .10/SH
10. VERY QUALIFIED MANAGEMENT
THAT CONTROL LARGE AMOUNT OF
SHARES OUTSTANDING.
IF WE ASSIGN A PE OF 15 TO CRLI.OB
AND EARNINGS REACH .10 OR .20/S
FOR 07 A RESULTING SHARE PRICE IS
VERY POSSIBLE, THAT IS, $1.50 TO
$3.00. ASSUMING GROWTH
CONTINUES INTO 08 AND BEYOND
TAKING IN ACCOUNT THE ADDITION .10
IN SAVING DURING 08- THEN EARNING
WILL ACCELERATE EVEN MORE SO
INTO 08 AND THE SHARE PRICE
SHOULD MOVE MUCH
HIGHER.
AS THE FINANCIAL STRENGTH OF
CLRI.OB FIRMS IT IS OBVIOUS THAT
MANAGEMENT WOULD LIKE TO GROW
THE COMPANY EITHER BY MERGER
OR ACQUISITION AND TAKE
ADVANTAGE OF THE ATTRACTIVE
NOL.
NOTE: FIRST Q OF 07 SHOULD BE
RELEASED WITHIN DAYS-WE ARE NOT
SURE WHAT TO EXPECT, BUT
ANTICIPATE POSITIVE RESULTS
LEADING TOWARD A POSITIVE YEAR-
END RESULTS. WE BELIEVE THAT
CLRI.OB DUCK'S ARE ALL IN PLACE
FOR STOCK APPRECIATION DURING
THE NEXT 18 MONTHS. WE SEE VERY
LITTLE DOWNSIDE RISK FROM
CURRENT LEVELS. WE WILL MONITOR
CRLI.OB WITHIN OUR PORTFOLIO FOR
% GAIN PERFORMANCE
WE RATE CRLI.OB WITH A STRONG
BUY RATING FOR SPECULATIVE
ACCOUNTS.
OTHER STUFF:
WE LIKE:
ALJJ.PK----STEEL RE-ORG PLAY @.25-
INCASE YOU HAVE NOT NOTICED THE
STEELS ARE HAVING THE BEST
YEARS IN 10 YEARS. INTERESTING
SPECULATION.
WWAG.OB---AUCTION PLAY ON
GROWTH IN DUBIA,UAE--INTERESTING
SPECULATION THAT SHOULD BE
LOOKED @.
PARTICIPATE IN DIRECT OIL AND GAS
OWNERSHIP- GREAT TAX
ADVANTAGE AND PRODUCTION IN
LOW RISK WELLS IN TEXAS-- CALL
ENERGY EQUITIES 1-281-751-8626 ASK
FOR CHANCEY--MENTION S A
ADVISORY AND GET DISCOUNT
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RECOMMENDATION FIRST BEFORE
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SUPER FAST PERSONALIZED PHONE
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FOR INFORMATION.
WE HAVE NOT BEEN PAID BY ANY OF
THE LISTED INVESTMENTS WITHIN
THIS DOCUMENT. WE MAY BUY, SELL
AND OR HOLD THEM @ OUR
DISCRETION.
WE CURRENTLY HOLD 50K OF
CRLI.OB,10K OF WWAG.OB AND 20K
OF ALJJ.PK.